“We Need to Get Rid of Significance in A/B Testing, Seriously!” Published in ACM interactions

The way A/B testing is done in many—if not most—companies today, p-values and significance are pretty much meaningless. Still, decision models often only allow treatments to be implemented if they achieved a "significant uplift". One better alternative is to employ a Bayesian approach which allows to report probabilities for minimum uplifts and to calculate ROI on a case-by-case basis.

Happiness—How Does It Work?

Traurig sein hat keinen Sinn, die Sonne scheint auch weiterhin. — Farin Urlaub: "Sonne" (2005) I know, I know. Not yet another one of those "How to find happiness" articles 🙄. So why am I writing this anyway? First of all, I think that writing is probably the best way of self⸗reflection—sadly, an art that is performed way… Continue reading Happiness—How Does It Work?

What Do Highly Successful Start-ups Have in Common?

Abstract: In the first year, a clear majority of the investigated companies secured more than $0.395m of seed or angel funding; in the second year, a clear majority secured more than $4.366m of Series A or venture funding; and in the third year, a clear majority secured more than $11.131m of Series B funding. At… Continue reading What Do Highly Successful Start-ups Have in Common?

How ’bout some fancy dashboards for ya? Power BI vs. Geckoboard

In my capacity as the chief data analyst of bitstars, it's one of my key responsibilities to regularly compile all relevant figures concerning our web platform HoloBuilder. These figures are mostly intended for people who don't have the time to dive deeply into some fancy but complicated statistics. Hence, from the user experience perspective it's… Continue reading How ’bout some fancy dashboards for ya? Power BI vs. Geckoboard

How to do Power Law Regression in R, or What Happened When One of my Posts Made it to the Front Page of Hacker News

Recently, my post about motherfuckingwebsite.com was featured on the front page of Y Combinator's Hacker News. I was watching football with some friends when my WordPress app told me twice that my blog's stats "are exploding". Back at home, I checked my stats and noticed that I had almost 6,000 unique visitors and over 7,000 views… Continue reading How to do Power Law Regression in R, or What Happened When One of my Posts Made it to the Front Page of Hacker News